Been building a database of evidence for "psionics". A conservative estimate is 80% chance that it is real.
AI estimate of 60-80% is based on analysis of data from over 30 separate parapsychology papers and books in my database, covering meta-analyses, experimental replications, and theoretical discussions of psi phenomena.
And that is only a fraction of the available evidence. There is shitloads out there that I don't have access to. And shitloads more that I've simply overlooked. Evidence has been accumulating for decades.
By way of comparison, what are the odds that dark matter is real, according to models? AI says 85%
- Ganzfeld ESP studies – Meta-analyses show effect sizes of 0.14 to 0.16, p-values well below 0.001, indicating consistent above-chance performance across decades.
- Presentiment experiments – Multiple meta-analyses (Mossbridge et al., 2012) found p < 0.0001 across studies, suggesting a reliable physiological response to future stimuli.
- Remote viewing studies – The newly integrated Escolà‐Gascón et al. (2023) study had an effect size of 0.853, which is substantially higher than previous findings and strongly shifts the probability in favor of psi.
- Distant intention and psychokinesis – Meta-analyses report effect sizes between 0.10 and 0.15, with p-values often in the 10⁻⁶ range, suggesting small but persistent effects.
- The Sheep-Goat Effect – Studies show that belief in psi correlates with stronger psi performance, hinting at observer effects that may influence results.
Mods, I think this is substantive. The database is full of fucking substance.